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Wimbledon 2024 Expert Picks: Who will be champion, and who will surprise?

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After the ladies’ and gentlemens’ Wimbledon singles draws were made, we polled our writers and editors on four questions:

 

 

Who will be the women’s champion?
Peter Bodo: The stars are aligned for Iga Swiatek to complete a Channel Slam despite the Grand Slam champions in her path.
Liya Davidov: Although her ranking dropped to No. 3, Aryna Sabalenka is a strong favorite to win it all.
Joel Drucker: Though not yet as comfortable on grass as on clay, this will be the year Iga Swiatek shows she’s got the goods at Wimbledon.
Matt Fitzgerald: Third time’s the charm for Ons Jabeur has a nice ring to it.
Jon Levey: Aryna Sabalenka will serve—and shriek—her way to her first Wimbledon title.
Stephanie Livaudais: Sore shoulder or not, two-time Wimbledon semifinalist Aryna Sabalenka has the type of big-hitting game and first-strike mentality that is greatly rewarded on grass.
Ed McGrogan: On the court and off, Naomi Osakais looking like a Grand Slam champion once again.
Stephen Tignor: Elena Rybakina has won here before, and is having too good a season to go Slamless.

Peter Bodo: If Hubert Hurkacz can spark the fire in his belly, he will ride that big serve to his first major title.
Liya Davidov: Jannik Sinner has an excellent track record at this year’s Slams, with Wimbledon champion his next achievement.
Joel Drucker: Because he has that X-factor on big points—so vital on grass—Carlos Alcaraz will win Wimbledon for the second straight year.
Matt Fitzgerald: If he can build up during the first week, I like Carlos Alcaraz’s chances to pull off the Roland Garros-Wimbledon double.
Jon Levey: After surviving another five-set classic against his rival in the Roland Garros semifinals, Carlos Alcaraz repeats as Wimbledon champion.
Stephanie Livaudais: No matter the surface or event, if world No. 1 Jannik Sinner is in the draw, he’s a no-brainer pick—even more so after his showing in Halle.

 

 

Ed McGrogan: Alexander Zverevshould benefit greatly from his draw, but it’s not like his game can’t slay on grass, either.
Stephen Tignor: Jannik Sinner is No. 1, just won his first title on grass, and should have an edge over Carlitos on this surface.

Peter Bodo: It’s unlikely that Novak Djokovic can survive all the bombardiers in his half of the draw.
Liya Davidov: Jack Draper is looking like a surprise title contender.
Joel Drucker: Sebastian Korda has a reasonably favorable draw—and the right tools for a deep Wimbledon run.
Matt Fitzgerald: Marcos Giron has produced a handful of notable grass-court wins this month: look out, Sascha.
Jon Levey: Although their Grand Slam title drought will continue, an American man will reach the Wimbledon semifinals for the first time since John Isner in 2018.
Stephanie Livaudais: Considering Novak Djokovic is only weeks removed from surgery, maybe his knee can’t quite go all the way—but expect the seven-time champion to surprise doubters regardless.
Ed McGrogan: I can only guarantee one Italian in the third round: Matteo Berrettini.
Stephen Tignor: Taylor Fritz likes grass, and he’s not on the Sinner/Alcaraz side of the draw.

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